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Thursday, October 23, 2025

Tropical Storm Melissa may convey days of heavy rain and maybe extreme flash flooding to Dominican Republic, Haiti and Jamaica. Maps present its forecast path.


Tropical Storm Melissa is anticipated to convey days of heavy rain to the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Jamaica and should set off “life-threatening flash flooding,” the Nationwide Hurricane Middle says.

Melissa, the thirteenth named storm of the Atlantic season, shaped over the Caribbean on Tuesday.

It is not  anticipated to have main impacts on the mainland United States.

Here is what to find out about Tropical Storm Melissa:

Tropical Storm Melissa forecast and path

Early Thursday, Melissa’s core was about 300 miles southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, and about 240 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. It was inching alongside at solely 3 mph, the hurricane heart stated. Most sustained winds have been 50 mph, with tropical storm-force winds extending as much as 115 miles out from the storm’s heart.

NOAA / Nationwide Hurricane Middle


On the forecast observe, Melissa is “anticipated to be nearer to Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti in the course of the subsequent couple of days,” the hurricane heart stated.

” … Little change in energy is anticipated in the course of the subsequent day or so, however vital strengthening is anticipated by late Friday and over the weekend. Melissa is forecast to turn out to be a hurricane in a few days.”

A hurricane watch is in place for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince, and a tropical storm watch is in impact for Jamaica. 

Rainfall forecasts

Melissa is more likely to convey 5 to 10 inches of rain to the southern Dominican Republic, southern Haiti and jap Jamaica by Sunday, with domestically greater quantities doable, the NHC stated. “Extra heavy rainfall is feasible past Sunday,” it continued however uncertainty about Melissa’s observe and pace “reduces confidence in actual totals.”

Nonetheless, “vital, life-threatening flash flooding and quite a few landslides are doable,” the middle identified.

“Throughout Puerto Rico, northern Dominican Republic, northern Haiti, and western Jamaica, 2 to 4 inches of rain is anticipated by Sunday,” the middle stated, and “flash and concrete flooding will probably be doable by not less than Sunday.”

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